The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Strong Tropical Cyclones Intensify More Gradually through Interaction with Ocean Subsurface
ID:1039 Invited Oral Presentation

2027-01-13 13:30 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 3 - Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interactions: From Weather to Climate Scales

Abstract
Understanding changes in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity long-term trends is critical for enhancing societal resilience. Given their disproportionate impacts, shifts in strong TCs, which are defined here as Category 4 and above, are of particular concern. We examined long-term trends in the lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) of strong global TCs and found that their increasing trend is only 43% of the average across all TCs. This discrepancy points to a wind-dependent negative feedback mechanism that restricts the intensification of strong TCs. Stronger winds induce stronger mixing and a deeper mixed layer depth (MLD), entraining cold subsurface waters that constrain TC intensification. Our findings highlight the need to improve understanding of intense TC feedback mechanisms to enhance future intensity projections, which is critical for mitigating societal and environmental impacts.
Speaker
Lei Zhou Shanghai Jiao Tong University

Author
Lei Zhou Shanghai Jiao Tong University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

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    • Sep 15

      2026

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    • Oct 15

      2026

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    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027