Future projections of the combined impacts of acidification and deoxygenation in eutrophic waters: a case study of Tokyo Bay, Japan
ID:108
Oral Presentation
2027-01-14 13:30 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 1 - Coastal ecosystem by anthropogenic activities and climate changes
Abstract
To predict the risk of combined acidification and deoxygenation in eutrophic waters and evaluate the effectiveness of measures to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions and terrestrial nutrient loads as countermeasures, we developed a high-resolution coupled ocean physical and biogeochemical model for Tokyo Bay, a representative eutrophic water body in Japan. It has been reported that dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in the bottom waters of Tokyo Bay occasionally fall below the threshold for adverse impacts on commercially important species such as the coastal demersal fish Sillago japonica, and future projections show that if anthropogenic CO2 emissions and nutrient loads from rivers remain at current levels, the adverse impacts on these target species will intensify. On the other hand, if nutrient loads from rivers are reduced, the number of days on which DO concentrations fall below the adverse impact threshold for Sillago japonica would actually decrease. It was quantitatively demonstrated that in Tokyo Bay, which receives a high nutrient load, reducing nutrient inflow from rivers would have an effect on future combined acidification and deoxygenation impacts comparable to that of curbing global CO2 emissions.
Speaker
Author
Important Dates
-
Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
-
Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
Session acceptance notifications
-
Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
-
Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
Abstract acceptance notifications
-
Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
-
Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
-
Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
