The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Recent intensification of global ocean carbon subduction driven by mode waters
ID:1087 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 15:20 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 45 - Linking Ocean Physical Processes to Marine Ecosystems and Carbon Cycling

Abstract
The ocean has absorbed more than one quarter of anthropogenic carbon emissions since the 1850s, acting as a critical buffer of atmospheric CO2 increases and thus moderating climate change. Sustained oceanic CO₂ uptake requires the export of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) from the surface mixed layer into the ocean interior through water mass subduction, yet the magnitude, variability, and drivers of global carbon subduction remain poorly understood. Here we quantify global carbon subduction by combining observation-based estimates of water mass subduction with machine-learning reconstructions of subsurface DIC. During the Argo era (2005–2022), we estimate that approximately 270.3 ± 9.4 Pg C yr-1 of DIC has been subducted into the ocean interior between 65°S and 65°N. About 75% of this carbon subduction is associated with mode and intermediate waters, with approximately 27% occurring in the Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) formation region of the Southern Ocean. We estimate that global carbon subduction has increased by 24.7 ± 8.6 Pg C yr⁻¹ since 2005, with approximately 43% of this increase occurring in the SAMW formation region, despite it occupying only ~13% of the global ocean surface area. Decomposition of carbon subduction in mode water formation regions shows that recent increases are driven primarily by intensified mode water subduction associated with winter mixed layer deepening, rather than by increases in DIC concentration. These results highlight the dominant role of SAMW in regulating recent changes in ocean carbon uptake and underscore the importance of monitoring high-latitude mixed layer dynamics for predicting future ocean carbon sequestration.
Speaker
Wandi Jing Ocean University of China

Author
Wandi Jing Ocean University of China

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

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    • Apr 30

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    • Jun 30

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    • Aug 31

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    • Sep 15

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    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027