The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Diminished subsurface oxygen maximum linked to collapsing North Pacific Central Mode Water
ID:1091 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 14:30 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 45 - Linking Ocean Physical Processes to Marine Ecosystems and Carbon Cycling

Abstract
Mode waters occupy only 20% of the upper 2000 m of the ocean, yet they strongly shape ocean heat storage and oxygen uptake. Whether these reservoirs will persist under continued warming remains unclear. Based on Argo observations, direct measurements from bottle and CTD casts, ocean reanalysis products, and model simulations, here we report signs of a collapse in the North Pacific Central Mode Water since the early 2020s, leading to a rapid decline in the subsurface oxygen maximum at Station ALOHA, the monitoring site for the Hawaii Ocean Time-series program, 50 km north of Oahua. Over recent decades, weakened westerlies in the Central Mode Water formation region aggravate surface warming and stratification, consequently suppressing Central Mode Water renewal. Typically, a strong El Niño strengthens the westerlies, promoting vigorous Central Mode Water formation. However, the strong 2023–2024 El Niño failed to reinvigorate the Central Mode Water because the atmospheric teleconnections were shifted unusually eastward, well outside the Central Mode Water formation region. Similar anomalies are projected in warming climate, and our findings imply inhibited surface-thermocline exchanges due to failed mode water ventilation, with far-reaching impacts on climate, biogeochemical cycles, and marine ecosystems.
Speaker
Lixiao Xu Ocean University of China

Author
Lixiao Xu Ocean University of China

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

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    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027