The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

SSP2-COM scenario simulation of the Greenland Ice Sheet
ID:1216 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 14:45 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 60 - Polar Ice Sheet-Shelf-Ocean Processes, Changes, and Sea Level Implications

Abstract
The SSP2-COM scenario is a global 2°C emission scenario that both aligns with global temperature control targets and closely follows realistic emission trends. To overcome the limitations of the traditional use of spatially uniform degree‑day factors, we utilize long‑term observational meteorological and ablation data from Greenland automatic weather stations. A surface energy balance model is employed to simulate hourly ablation, which supplements the missing ablation observations. By applying the positive degree‑day (PDD) method for inversion, we calibrate the snow and ice degree‑day factors (DDF) for the eight major drainage basins of Greenland, thereby obtaining basin‑specific snow and ice DDFs with high spatial representativeness. The estimated surface mass balance (SMB) is then input into the PoLarIS land‑ice model and compared with input data from other scenarios.
Speaker
Qingtai Sun Beijing Normal University

Author
Qingtai Sun Beijing Normal University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027