Global warming causes warmer water to sink and transport more heat to deeper Atlantic
ID:1227
Oral Presentation
2027-01-15 09:45 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 62 - Variability of the Atlantic Ocean: past, present and future
Abstract
Subpolar Atlantic’s mixed-layer and mid-depth waters are expected to become less dense under global warming, slowing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, the downward heat flux can counterintuitively increase as warmer water sinks in a lighter environment, thereby enhancing heat sequestration. Here using models and observation we show the profound heat budget changes under increasing CO2: A lighter subpolar Atlantic causes increasing downward transport of heat, making it an important component of the mixed-layer budget under AMOC, in addition to its meridional heat transport. It leads to other unexpected climate consequences, including invalidating the prevailing paradigm based on the dominance of AMOC’s meridional heat transport, whereby a stronger AMOC leads to a warmer North Atlantic. That relationship, applicable to preindustrial conditions, is now being disrupted when vertical heat transport becomes important. The variations of AMOC cycles and subpolar sea-surface temperature have now become out of phase.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
Session acceptance notifications
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
Abstract acceptance notifications
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
