The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Unveiling the Global Oceanic Influence of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using Pacemaker Experiments
ID:1231 Oral Presentation

2027-01-15 09:30 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 62 - Variability of the Atlantic Ocean: past, present and future

Abstract
Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) significantly impacts regional and global climate, as evidenced by observations and climate model simulations. Previous sensitivity experiments investigating the AMV were mostly based on climate model simulations in which the North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (NASSTs) were nudged to a fixed AMV pattern. Here, the global influence of AMV is explored using an ensemble of pacemaker experiments where NASSTs are nudged to the time-varying observational records. Ten ensemble members proved sufficient to distinguish forced signals from internal climate variability. Using high-pass filtered data to inform how the response to the AMV is established, we confirm that the AMV primarily affects the global ocean through its tropical component. The oceanic response to a warm AMV anomaly unfolds in four phases: (1) warming of the western Pacific warm pool and development of anomalous easterlies in the Western Indo-Pacific driven by diabatic heating over the tropical Atlantic within the first 6 months, (2) eastward propagation of equatorial thermocline anomalies and establishment of La Niña-like conditions in the eastern Pacific after 7-10 months, (3) persistence of La Niña conditions during 11-20 months via Bjerknes feedback and weakening of the Aleutian low thru tropical teleconnections, and (4) emergence of a negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern in the North Pacific after 21-25 months. Our findings highlight the importance of using time-varying SST observations in pacemaker experiments to capture the full complexity of inter-basin connections.
Speaker
Weimin Jiang Xiamen University

Author
Weimin Jiang Xiamen University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027