Meridional coherence influences on decadal ocean heat content variability in the North Atlantic under global warming
ID:1241
Poster Presentation
2027-01-15 16:00 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 62 - Variability of the Atlantic Ocean: past, present and future
Abstract
Decadal ocean heat content (OHC) variability modulates the global climate system. However, the response of decadal OHC variability in the North Atlantic to global warming, and the underlying mechanisms, remain poorly understood. Using observational reanalysis and CMIP6 model results, we find a robust reduction in the decadal OHC variability during the future SSP585 period compared to the historical period in the North Atlantic and particularly at higher latitudes. A variance decomposition shows that ocean’s meridional heat transport (MHT) convergence/divergence dominates the OHC variance consistently during the historical period (68%) and SSP585 (59%), and accounts for most (97%) of the variance reduction in the decadal OHC variability between the two periods. The changes in the MHT convergence/divergence are attributed to a reduction in the MHT strength and increasing synchronization of the MHT meridional coherence. Our findings elucidate the intricate coupling between overturning circulation and temperature in governing decadal OHC variability under climate change.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
Session acceptance notifications
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
Abstract acceptance notifications
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
