The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Meridional coherence influences on decadal ocean heat content variability in the North Atlantic under global warming
ID:1241 Poster Presentation

2027-01-15 16:00 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 62 - Variability of the Atlantic Ocean: past, present and future

Abstract
Decadal ocean heat content (OHC) variability modulates the global climate system. However, the response of decadal OHC variability in the North Atlantic to global warming, and the underlying mechanisms, remain poorly understood. Using observational reanalysis and CMIP6 model results, we find a robust reduction in the  decadal OHC variability during the future SSP585 period compared to the historical period in the North Atlantic and particularly at higher latitudes. A variance decomposition shows that ocean’s meridional heat transport (MHT) convergence/divergence dominates the OHC variance consistently during the historical period (68%) and SSP585 (59%), and accounts for most (97%) of the variance reduction in the decadal OHC variability between the two periods. The changes in the MHT convergence/divergence are attributed to a reduction in the MHT strength and increasing synchronization of the MHT meridional coherence. Our findings elucidate the intricate coupling between overturning circulation and temperature in governing decadal OHC variability under climate change.
Speaker
Sheng Wu Peking University

Author
Sheng Wu Peking University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027