The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Pulse-taking and -predicting for the Ocean by a Data-Driven Air-Sea Full-coupling Regional Forecast Model
ID:1296 Oral Presentation

2027-01-15 13:45 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 44 - Digital Twins of the Ocean: From Observations and Models to Decision Ready Science

Abstract
Submesoscale processes as well as internal waves (also called as the pulses of the ocean) of the ocean with horizontal scales from hundreds of meters to a few kilometers , take a key role in the oceanic dynamics and water mass/heat transport, and thus representing/predicting them correctly is essential to an accurate forecasting of the ocean state. However, they are difficult to be captured/predicted by the conventionally numerical ocean models due to their high nonlinearity in physics and the large requirement for computational resource. Here we demonstrate for the first time, to our knowledge, that a data-driven air-sea full-coupling regional forecast model built on a Swin-Transformer framework integrated with a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) system, named “Volador 1.0”, has the capability of capturing/predicting them with only a few seconds for a 72-h prediction, and produces an energy spectrum well representing sub‑ to mesoscale energy cascade as expected by the classical turbulence theory, beyond its good performance in the forecasting for conventional marine variables. Our study highligts the feasibility of oceanic refinement forecasting down to submesoscale with a very light computational cost through using deep neural network, which could help improve the capability of disaster prevention and mitigation in coastal regions.
Speaker
Yuhang Zhu South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Author
Yuhang Zhu South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027