Description and Typology Classification of Coastal Tipping Points
ID:1386
Oral Presentation
2027-01-12 11:40 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 41 - Abrupt change, tipping and early warning in climate and coastal system
Abstract
The coastal zone, situated at the land-ocean interface, represents a complex regional system in which physical, ecological, and social subsystems are highly coupled. Under the dual impacts of global change and human activities, shoreline dynamics and ecological degradation have intensified, and the system may be approaching or crossing tipping thresholds. This study addresses the mathematical representation and classification of tipping points in coastal zone systems. Based on dynamical systems theory, we developed a unified mathematical framework that incorporates land-sea interactions and multi-scale processes. Here, we establish a six-category classification system encompassing Bifurcation-driven, Noise-driven, Shock-driven, Rate-driven, Space-driven, and Information-driven tipping points, and further elucidate the spatiotemporal characteristics and triggering mechanisms of each category. Furthermore, a classification model of tipping points was constructed using large language models and literature-based big data, and 91 typical cases worldwide are analyzed, through which the heterogeneous spatial distribution of such events is revealed. The results demonstrate that coastal tipping point research possesses both representativeness and particularity. Future research should focus on key issues of “classification-identification-response”, and advance integrated efforts in data fusion, model development, and adaptive management. Based on the above studies, we believe that future research on coastal tipping points needs to effectively integrate data, models, and knowledge, and make full use of AI and other approaches to achieve a more systematic and comprehensive understanding of these tipping points.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
