The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Phase-Dependent Evolution and Multi-Variable Attribution of Marine Carbon Uptake Anomalies under 1pctCO2-CDR Scenarios
ID:1398 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 10:40 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 22 - Advances in modeling marine carbon dioxide removal

Abstract
Analyzing the 1pctCO2 and 1pctCO2-CDR experiments, we identify a significant early turnover in ocean carbon sink capacity prior to year 140 and a dramatic alteration in the carbon budget after achieving carbon neutrality. Employing a Taylor first-order expansion, our attribution analysis reveals that the early downturn is primarily governed by dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) concentration changes. Conversely, the post-neutrality perturbation is jointly controlled by DIC, sea surface temperature (SST), and alkalinity (ALK). These mechanistic attributions are robustly corroborated through spatial mapping of DIC and SST anomalies. Our findings highlight a fundamental transition from chemically-dominated to thermo-chemically co-regulated ocean carbon dynamics, with critical implications for marine carbon uptake stability under carbon dioxide removal (CDR) scenarios.
Speaker
Xin Cui Xiamen University

Author
Xin Cui Xiamen University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

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    • Sep 15

      2026

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    • Oct 15

      2026

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    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027