The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Diagnosing Optimal Forcing of the Western North Pacific Anomalous Anticyclone in a Deep‐Learning Model
ID:1507 Oral Presentation

2027-01-14 15:50 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 17 - Modern and past processes of ocean-atmosphere-climate interactions in the low-latitude Pacific and Indian Ocean

Abstract

Deep‐learning weather prediction models have demonstrated skill in simulating large‐scale climate modes, but their physical interpretability remains a critical challenge. Here, we apply a 360‐member Green's function‐like ensemble to the Pangu‐Weather model to diagnose the optimal forcing configuration of the tropical western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. The model reproduces the observed optimal forcing structure, including cooling over the western North Pacific and warming over the tropical Indian Ocean, demonstrating its ability to simulate physically consistent large‐scale responses. However, the model exhibits systematic biases, including a spurious westerly anomaly east of Indian Ocean heating and underestimated response to tropical Atlantic heating. These findings highlight both the physical consistency of Pangu‐Weather in capturing key climate modes and the challenges arising from its data‐driven nature. Our results underscore the need for hybrid modeling approaches that combine data‐driven learning with physical constraints to improve climate predictability and interpretability.

Speaker
Zhenqiang Zhou Fudan University

Author
震强 周 复旦大学

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027