Diagnosing Optimal Forcing of the Western North Pacific Anomalous Anticyclone in a Deep‐Learning Model
2027-01-14 15:50 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 17 - Modern and past processes of ocean-atmosphere-climate interactions in the low-latitude Pacific and Indian Ocean
Abstract
Deep‐learning weather prediction models have demonstrated skill in simulating large‐scale climate modes, but their physical interpretability remains a critical challenge. Here, we apply a 360‐member Green's function‐like ensemble to the Pangu‐Weather model to diagnose the optimal forcing configuration of the tropical western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. The model reproduces the observed optimal forcing structure, including cooling over the western North Pacific and warming over the tropical Indian Ocean, demonstrating its ability to simulate physically consistent large‐scale responses. However, the model exhibits systematic biases, including a spurious westerly anomaly east of Indian Ocean heating and underestimated response to tropical Atlantic heating. These findings highlight both the physical consistency of Pangu‐Weather in capturing key climate modes and the challenges arising from its data‐driven nature. Our results underscore the need for hybrid modeling approaches that combine data‐driven learning with physical constraints to improve climate predictability and interpretability.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
Session acceptance notifications
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
Abstract acceptance notifications
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
