Investigating the propagation pathways of interannual variability within the Indonesian seas based on the Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN) model.
ID:1622
Oral Presentation
2027-01-15 10:35 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 18 - Oceanography Meets Network Science, Complexity, and AI
Abstract
The Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) serves as a critical conduit linking the Pacific and Indian Oceans, with its interannual variability extensively modulated by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Due to the complex basin topography and scarcity of in-situ observations in the Indonesian seas, traditional methods face difficulties in directly revealing the specific propagation pathways of interannual signals into the interior Indonesian seas.
To address this issue, this study first utilizes small-scale and remote lag correlation analyses to identify network nodes. We depict the propagation pathways of signals from different source regions (i.e., the Pacific or Indian Ocean) to the Indonesian seas. Grid points exhibiting significant correlations with the source signals are identified as key nodes for the graph network, and an adjacency matrix is constructed based on spatial topological relationships. Subsequently, we apply the Deep Learning Model known as Spatial- Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN). To date, the results demonstrate that the STGCN model can identify high-weight connections between nodes, explicitly revealing the propagation pathways of interannual signals through key passages in the Indonesian seas, as well as variations associated with the climate modes. This investigation provides a novel data-driven paradigm for exploring oceanic wave propagation mechanisms in regions characterized by complex topography and sparse observational coverage.
To address this issue, this study first utilizes small-scale and remote lag correlation analyses to identify network nodes. We depict the propagation pathways of signals from different source regions (i.e., the Pacific or Indian Ocean) to the Indonesian seas. Grid points exhibiting significant correlations with the source signals are identified as key nodes for the graph network, and an adjacency matrix is constructed based on spatial topological relationships. Subsequently, we apply the Deep Learning Model known as Spatial- Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN). To date, the results demonstrate that the STGCN model can identify high-weight connections between nodes, explicitly revealing the propagation pathways of interannual signals through key passages in the Indonesian seas, as well as variations associated with the climate modes. This investigation provides a novel data-driven paradigm for exploring oceanic wave propagation mechanisms in regions characterized by complex topography and sparse observational coverage.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
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Apr 30
2026
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Apr 30
2026
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Jun 30
2026
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Aug 31
2026
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Sep 15
2026
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
