The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Projected acceleration of surface–subsurface marine heatwaves from a high resolution model
ID:175 Invited Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 15:20 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 34 - Marine Heatwaves: Drivers, Predictability, Compound Extremes, and Impacts

Abstract
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are episodic warm SST events that severely affect marine ecosystems. How global warming impacts MHWs over Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs)—covering 22% of the ocean but 95% of fisheries—remains unclear due to model biases. Using a high‑resolution eddy‑resolving model, we found that atmospheric rivers (ARs) can intensify MHWs by suppressing ocean cooling. Applying a future threshold (warming above long‑term mean SST rise), we project that MHW intensity and annual days over most LMEs will remain higher than present. MHWs also occur subsurface; globally, subsurface MHWs increase due to rising mean temperatures and enhanced variability. Historically, maximum intensity is at ~100 m depth, but shifts surfaceward under warming. Removing the trend, subsurface increases exceed surface ones, especially in LMEs. Concurrent surface–subsurface events rise tenfold. Our study underscores heightened threats, as subsurface heatwaves reduce vertical refuge for marine organisms.
Speaker
Yang Gao Ocean University of China

Author
Yang Gao Ocean University of China

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027