The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Non‐Stationary Relationship Between Northeast Pacific Sea Surface Temperature and El Niño‐Southern Oscillation
ID:181 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 11:10 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 34 - Marine Heatwaves: Drivers, Predictability, Compound Extremes, and Impacts

Abstract
El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most pronounced interannual variability over the tropical Pacific, exerting profound influences on global climate. In the mid‐latitude Northeast Pacific (NEP), persistent sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) have attracted wide attention in recent decades and have
been linked to tropical variability. Considering their important climate impacts and potential linkages, this study investigates the non‐stationary relationship between SSTAs in the NEP (SSTANEP) and ENSO using correlation decomposition and Linear Inverse Modeling. Our analysis reveals notable shifts in the SSTANEP‐ENSO linkage during 1961–2022. Before 1980, SSTANEP exhibited minimal influence on ENSO evolution. Conversely, during 1981–2000, SSTANEP substantially contributed to ENSO development, primarily via the North Pacific Meridional Mode. However, after 2000, this relationship has weakened again, suggesting a complex interplay between SSTANEP and ENSO. Understanding these relationship shifts is essential for advancing ENSO predictability and thereby enhancing the reliability of seasonal‐to‐decadal climate prediction.
Speaker
Yingying Zhao Ocean University of China

Author
Yingying Zhao Ocean University of China

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027