Reconstruction of Extreme Sea Levels in coastal China using Multiple Deep Learning models
ID:337
Oral Presentation
2027-01-13 09:00 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 33 - Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding: Drivers, Compound Risks, and Resilience Strategies
Abstract
We present a 1970–2020 dataset of daily maximum coastal water levels reconstructed for 23 tide gauges along China's coast. The product combines storm-surge residuals predicted with an Informer-based deep learning workflow (benchmarked against LSTM, CNN-LSTM, and ConvLSTM) with astronomical tides estimated by UTide from historical observations. Predictors are drawn from ERA5 reanalysis and multi-source tide-gauge records are used for training and validation. For each station, the model with best validation skill generates residuals combined with tidal harmonics to form daily maxima. Across stations, the reconstruction attains a mean correlation coefficient of 0.81 and RMSE of 11.7 cm for daily maxima; for events above the 95th percentile, the mean correlation is 0.68 and RMSE is typically below 20 cm. The release includes metadata, data splits, and skill metrics for transparency and reuse. This dataset enables spatiotemporal analyses of extreme coastal water levels and coastal hazard mitigation in regions with sparse observations. Daily maxima are computed as the sum of the maximum tide and maximum surge. This serves as an upper bound, as the peaks of tide and surge rarely coincide. Using hourly data, we estimate a mean non-coincidence bias of 14.9 cm (14.8%). Additionally, station-specific statistics are provided for user adjustment.
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