The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Reconstruction of Extreme Sea Levels in coastal China using Multiple Deep Learning models
ID:337 Oral Presentation

2027-01-13 09:00 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 33 - Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding: Drivers, Compound Risks, and Resilience Strategies

Abstract
We present a 1970–2020 dataset of daily maximum coastal water levels reconstructed for 23 tide gauges along China's coast. The product combines storm-surge residuals predicted with an Informer-based deep learning workflow (benchmarked against LSTM, CNN-LSTM, and ConvLSTM) with astronomical tides estimated by UTide from historical observations. Predictors are drawn from ERA5 reanalysis and multi-source tide-gauge records are used for training and validation. For each station, the model with best validation skill generates residuals combined with tidal harmonics to form daily maxima. Across stations, the reconstruction attains a mean correlation coefficient of 0.81 and RMSE of 11.7 cm for daily maxima; for events above the 95th percentile, the mean correlation is 0.68 and RMSE is typically below 20 cm. The release includes metadata, data splits, and skill metrics for transparency and reuse. This dataset enables spatiotemporal analyses of extreme coastal water levels and coastal hazard mitigation in regions with sparse observations. Daily maxima are computed as the sum of the maximum tide and maximum surge. This serves as an upper bound, as the peaks of tide and surge rarely coincide. Using hourly data, we estimate a mean non-coincidence bias of 14.9 cm (14.8%). Additionally, station-specific statistics are provided for user adjustment.
Speaker
Jiayi Fang Hangzhou Normal University

Author
Jiayi Fang Hangzhou Normal University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027