The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Future Spatiotemporal Variability in the Annual Sea-Level Cycle Along the Global Coastline
ID:349 Oral Presentation

2027-01-13 09:15 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 33 - Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding: Drivers, Compound Risks, and Resilience Strategies

Abstract
The annual sea level cycle (ASLC), characterized by its amplitude and phase, modulates coastal flood risk by altering the background water level upon which episodic storm surges superimpose. However, the future evolution of this seasonal cycle under climate change and its localized interactions with storm surges remain poorly constrained at high spatial resolutions. Here, we investigate future spatiotemporal shifts in the ASLC along the global coastline and evaluate their implications for extreme coastal flooding. To project future variations, we analyze historical simulations and future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6).By leveraging high-resolution dynamic sea level fields to overcome the spatial limitations of previous coarse-grid models, we map global changes in annual amplitude and phase relative to the historical baseline. Our findings highlight that shifts in the seasonal peak of background sea levels can either amplify or mitigate extreme coastal flooding, depending on their temporal alignment with the local storm surge season. This high-resolution global assessment provides crucial insights for regional coastal adaptation and resilient infrastructure planning.
Speaker
Ying Qu Suzhou University of Science and Technology

Author
Ying Qu Suzhou University of Science and Technology

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027