Decadal Variability in the Core Strength of the South Pacific Convergence Zone
ID:428
Poster Presentation
2027-01-15 20:00 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 50 - Indo-Pacific Ocean Dynamics and Tropical Climate
Abstract
The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) serves as the primary rainfall source for South Pacific islands, yet the decadal-scale variability within its core region remains insufficiently understood. By isolating sea surface temperature variability attributed to internal climate processes (SSTIV) from externally forced signals over the period 1940–2013, we demonstrate that SSTIV is the dominant driver of core strength variability (CSV) in the SPCZ, as quantified by 10‑m wind convergence. Local SSTIV modulates CSV through thermodynamic feedbacks, whereas equatorial Pacific SST anomalies exert limited remote influence. Regression analysis shows a 9.1×10⁻⁶ s⁻¹ increase in CSV and a 1.7 mm day⁻¹ increase in precipitation per 1℃ SSTIV rise on decadal scales. Although external forcing significantly shapes SPCZ SST, its direct impact on CSV is counteracted by the tropical Pacific SST gradient. The pronounced sensitivity of CSV to internal SST variability, in contrast to its comparatively weak response to external forcing, underscores the critical role of internally generated climate variability in governing SPCZ dynamics and, by extension, the hydroclimate of the surrounding island regions.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
Session acceptance notifications
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
Abstract acceptance notifications
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
