The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Revisiting the Roles of the Australian Winter Monsoon and ENSO in Indian Ocean Tripole Variability
ID:675 Oral Presentation

2027-01-14 14:00 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 42 - Indian Ocean Under Stress: Dynamics, Biogeochemistry, and Productivity Shifts During Extreme Events

Abstract
The Indian Ocean Tripole (IOT) is a key mode of Indo–Pacific climate variability, distinct from the Indian Ocean Dipole, whose driving mechanisms have changed in recent decades. We show that IOT events occurred nearly twice as often before 2000, reflecting a fundamental shift in their triggering processes. Prior to 2000, IOT variability was jointly triggered by the Australian winter monsoon and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). After 2000, ENSO forcing weakened substantially, and IOT variability became primarily controlled by the Australian winter monsoon. This transition arises from background SST warming near northern Australia, cooling in the tropical eastern Pacific, and an increased frequency of late-developing Central-Pacific El Niño events. Warming near Australia enhances monsoon-induced convection and associated Gill-type atmospheric responses, whereas Pacific cooling suppresses ENSO-related convection and weakens the Walker circulation. These results demonstrate how mean-state shifts and ENSO diversity reshape Indo-Pacific air-sea coupling.
Speaker
Mengyan Chen South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Author
梦燕 陈 中国科学院南海海洋研究所

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027