The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Efficacy of aerosol forcings is determined by the pattern effect and state dependence of climate feedbacks
ID:706 Oral Presentation

2027-01-15 14:15 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 54 - Aerosol–Cloud–Radiation Interactions in the Ocean–Atmosphere System

Abstract
The magnitude of global surface temperature change in response to unit radiative forcing depends on the type and magnitude of forcing agent -- a concept known as a "forcing efficacy". In this study, we perform a set of simulations using a climate model to calculate the efficacy of 10 different forcing agents defined in terms of fixed-SST effective radiative forcing, and then use a Green's function approach to show that each forcing efficacy can be largely understood in terms of the radiative feedbacks associated with the different surface temperature patterns induced by the forcing agents (a pattern effect). We also quantify how the state dependence of feedbacks on global mean surface temperature anomalies impacts forcing efficacies, and the results show that the forcing efficacy can be well reconstructed with a combination of pattern effect and state dependence. Our results indicate that the efficacy of aerosol forcings depends on the spatial location of aerosol concentration changes, and the effect of forcing efficacy on Earth's energy budget can be accounted for by considering the pattern effect and state dependence of radiative feedbacks.
 
Speaker
Chen Zhou Nanjing University

Author
Chen Zhou Nanjing University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Apr 30

      2026

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    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

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    • Sep 15

      2026

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    • Oct 15

      2026

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    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027