The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Storm Surge Dynamics in the Bohai Sea using AI Method
ID:826 Oral Presentation

2027-01-12 10:55 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 32 - AI for Ocean Dynamics: advancements, discoveries and challenges

Abstract
Aiming at the scarcity of observational data for extreme storm surge events in the Bohai Sea and the inherent limitations of traditional forecasting methods in terms of physical mechanism constraints and probabilistic result interpretation, this study proposes an integrated framework for storm surge prediction and uncertainty quantification combining numerical simulation and deep learning. A hybrid wind field forcing scheme is constructed to compensate for the lack of observational data via numerical models, on the basis of which various machine learning models are developed to perform deterministic storm surge forecasting and reduce deterministic prediction errors. For uncertainty quantification, a multi-model fusion probabilistic prediction system is established by introducing bidirectional long short-term memory networks, adaptive bandwidth kernel density estimation, and sequential forward feature selection.This study effectively improves the forecasting accuracy of storm surges in the Bohai Sea through the hybrid forcing scheme, and simultaneously realizes the quantitative assessment of forecasting risks, providing important theoretical support and decision-making basis for the early warning and prevention of marine disasters, the scientific management of coastal zone resources, and the protection of coastal ecosystems.
Speaker
Miaohua Mao Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Author
Miaohua Mao Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027