Storm Surge Dynamics in the Bohai Sea using AI Method
ID:826
Oral Presentation
2027-01-12 10:55 (China Standard Time)
Session:Session 32 - AI for Ocean Dynamics: advancements, discoveries and challenges
Abstract
Aiming at the scarcity of observational data for extreme storm surge events in the Bohai Sea and the inherent limitations of traditional forecasting methods in terms of physical mechanism constraints and probabilistic result interpretation, this study proposes an integrated framework for storm surge prediction and uncertainty quantification combining numerical simulation and deep learning. A hybrid wind field forcing scheme is constructed to compensate for the lack of observational data via numerical models, on the basis of which various machine learning models are developed to perform deterministic storm surge forecasting and reduce deterministic prediction errors. For uncertainty quantification, a multi-model fusion probabilistic prediction system is established by introducing bidirectional long short-term memory networks, adaptive bandwidth kernel density estimation, and sequential forward feature selection.This study effectively improves the forecasting accuracy of storm surges in the Bohai Sea through the hybrid forcing scheme, and simultaneously realizes the quantitative assessment of forecasting risks, providing important theoretical support and decision-making basis for the early warning and prevention of marine disasters, the scientific management of coastal zone resources, and the protection of coastal ecosystems.
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Important Dates
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Jan 30
2026
Session / Event proposals open
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Mar 31
2026
Session / Event proposals close
(Extended to April 7) -
Apr 30
2026
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Apr 30
2026
Abstract submissions & registration open
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Jun 30
2026
Abstract submissions close
(Extended to July 21) -
Aug 31
2026
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Sep 15
2026
Scientific program released
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Oct 15
2026
Early bird registration closes
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Jan 12–15
2027
XMAS 2027
