The Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

2027 Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences

January 12-15, 2027

Multi-decadal Variability of North Pacific Bomb Cyclone Intensity During 1940–2025
ID:891 Oral Presentation

2027-01-15 11:20 (China Standard Time)

Session:Session 55 - Decadal Climate Variation, Prediction and Predictability

Abstract
Recent work has revealed a weakening of North Pacific bomb cyclones since the early 2000s, closely associated with the variability of the Aleutian Low. However, most existing analyses are limited to the satellite era, making it difficult to determine whether these changes represent an unprecedented shift or part of longer-term climate variability. In this study, we extend the historical record of North Pacific bomb cyclones to 1940 using the ERA5 reanalysis. Bomb cyclones are identified and tracked using an objective cyclone-tracking algorithm based on mean sea-level pressure. Multiple intensity metrics, including maximum near-surface wind speed, minimum sea-level pressure, and the deepening rate of cyclone center pressure, are examined. The extended record enables an assessment of interannual-to-multidecadal variability in bomb cyclone intensity over the past eight decades. Preliminary analyses suggest substantial multi-decadal modulation of bomb cyclone intensity. In addition, particular attention is given to the relationships between bomb cyclone characteristics and large-scale Pacific climate modes, including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, and Aleutian Low variability. These results help clarify the relative contributions of natural climate variability and long-term climate change to North Pacific bomb cyclone behavior.
Speaker
Jiaxiang Gao Fuzhou University

Author
Jiaxiang Gao Fuzhou University

    Important Dates

    • Jan 30

      2026

      Session / Event proposals open

    • Mar 31

      2026

      Session / Event proposals close
      (Extended to April 7)

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Session acceptance notifications

    • Apr 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions & registration open

    • Jun 30

      2026

      Abstract submissions close
      (Extended to July 21)

    • Aug 31

      2026

      Abstract acceptance notifications

    • Sep 15

      2026

      Scientific program released

    • Oct 15

      2026

      Early bird registration closes

    • Jan 12–15

      2027

      XMAS 2027